THE CLIMATE CHANGE NOW INITIATIVE
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Mission Statement
MISSION STATEMENT The Climate Change Now Initiative seeks to change world climate policy from a future allowing further warming to one of restoration, where we cool our planet back to within the evolutionary boundaries of our Earth systems, to stabilize activated climate tipping responses, reverse the weather mayhem back to its former rare levels, and to eliminate climate change-caused injustice and inequity. Future emissions only limit future warming, it is current warming that has created the mayhem and threatens climate tipping stability. In 2020 our director was solely responsible for national Sierra Club adopting a climate restoration policy of 1 degree C warming or less, replacing their 1.5 C further warming policy, based on environmental conservation concepts and realization that Earth systems are now degraded from warming, and this degradation will only get worse unless we remove the warming that caused it. Our director also convinced the Club to change their policy on geoengineering to supporting research in case emergency cooling is needed, from "anything geoengineering including research, over our dead body." Many thanks to the national climate policy team and all the reviewers and the national board for approving. In addition to continuing to work with Sierra Club to create net zero emissions and remove greenhouse gases from our sky, we are currently working as leadership with two other international climate policy organizations developing a new vision for these times when warming appears to have taken a dramatic acceleration where over the last two years we have warmed half as much as we warmed in the previous 200 years. Healthy Planet Action Coalition (engineered cooling solutions) and Carbon Dioxide Removal Network (greenhouse gas removal), each with 200 to 250 international scientists, engineers, entrepreneurs, policy makers, advocates, individuals, and climate professionals. We filmed 13,000 miles last year on the East Coast and have another big trip planned for the fall. Our film, Climate Change Across America has won two awards. https://ClimateDiscovery.org https://ClimateChangePhoto.org https://MeltonEngineering.com https://www.facebook.com/bruce.melton.395 https://www.instagram.com/bruce.c.melton/ https://bsky.app/profile/brucemelton.bsky.social
About This Cause
OUR GLOBALLY LEADING PRODUCTIONS: Websites - https://ClimateDiscovery.org https://ClimateChangePhoto.org An Introduction to Advanced Climate Change - An 18,000 word learning tool with 52 slides, 70 beautiful images and over 600 academic references with summaries totaling 85,000 words. https://climatediscovery.org/Introduction_to_Advanced_Climate_Change_October_2023.ppt Climate Emergency Response - A 111 page, full color report on the scientific justification for climate restoration to a less than 1 degree C above normal. Invited by the City of Austin Climate Program. https://climatediscovery.org/Climate_Emergency_Response_Austin_September_2021.pdf Our History of Carbon Dioxide Removal -https://climatediscovery.org/History_of_Carbon_Dioxide_Removal_Draft.docx Gigapeople, Gigachickens and Gigashoes Why our giga task of engineered cooling solutions will be nothing different than life on Earth every day. https://climatediscovery.org/Gigapeople_Gigashoes_and_Gigachickens.docx Fifteen Climate Change Impacts Happening Decades to A Century or More Ahead of Projections - https://climatediscovery.org/Impacts_Happening_Ahead_of_Projection_051223.docx OUR 2024 ANNUAL REPORT AND GIVING REQUEST https://mailchi.mp/a7bb7f9a6176/climate-tipping-and-the-polar-vortex-are-active-support-climate-change-change-now-with-your-gift-10336600?e=[UNIQID] WHY WE EXIST For 30 years we have considered additional warming is safe, but delay in climate action has allowed warming to exceed the evolutionary boundaries of our Earth's natural systems and they are in collapse, as any system collapses when its evolutionary boundaries are crossed. This boundary is the maximum natural variation of our old climate or less than about 1 degree C (1.8 F) above normal warming (or 350 ppm CO2) where we are now at 1.5 C (420 ppm CO2, 2023). These collapses are, or are directly related to climate tipping responses where our natural systems rapidly and irreversibly change to a state incompatible with our advanced civilization's evolution. As the collapses proceed, the systems re-evolve with new species and mechanisms tolerant of the new conditions. These collapses are just beginning and most become irreversible if the warming that caused them is not removed before the point of no return; a time that is plausibly much sooner than the typical 2100 target date of climate policy. Effects begin once the collapse is activated, they accelerate over short periods of time, and create cascading feedbacks with other collapsing systems that increase the rate and extremeness of the collapses. These collapsing systems no longer absorb greenhouse gases, they emit them, in nonlinearly increasing quantities that can dwarf humankind's emissions. The solution to climate change today with tipping collapses activated can be nothing else except doing the best we can with emissions and most importantly, building an atmospheric carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases removal infrastructure. Implementation must be in true emergency fashion, so as to return atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations to no more than the maximum of our old climate at about 350 ppm CO2. Because of the emergency nature of tipping, time is critical. Mature technologies must be scaled to rapidly cool Earth from today, not allow additional warming to the global target of 1.5 C. HOW DO WE KNOW THRESHOLDS HAVE BEEN CROSSED? At least 15 known impacts from permafrost collapse to the Amazon flipping from carbon sink to emissions are happening generations to a hundred years ahead of projections. Most are associated with tipping systems where widespread science has previously shown these collapses would not occur until 5 C warming. See here - https://climatediscovery.org/Impacts_Happening_Ahead_of_Projection_051223.docx WHO IS THE CLIMATE CHANGE NOW INITIATIVE? Climate Change Now is a world leader in climate policy. Since 2005 we have been working to understand why climate change is happening faster than projections, why the public and policymakers doubt what the science says, and how outreach can be improved to better reflect reality. The Climate Change Now Initiative was founded as a part of our director's Melton Engineering Services Austin. In 2013 we received IRS 501c3 charity designation. Also in 2013, our director was the first to be added to the Healthy Climate Alliance (now Foundation for Climate Restoration) resource and discussion list, a list that currently includes over 1,000 climate professionals, scientists and advocates. This makes Climate Change Now one of the primary founders of the global climate restoration movement. In 2019, our director was singularly responsible for convincing a Sierra Club policy team to lower the Club's warming target from 1.5 degrees C above normal to a restoration target of "less than 1 C," and to support geoengineering research "in case emergency cooling is needed." These policies were adopted in 2020. We have published over 600 reviews of critical climate science, over 100 in popular press, and created over a dozen films, three albums of music, scores of presentations and a book. Our ClimateDiscovery.org is one of the most extensive independent climate science education resources anywhere and in 2021 we launched a novel website dedicated to climate impacts across North America with a focus on natural systems collapses. Our films have documented over 100,000 miles witnessing climate change and our latest, Climate Change Across America, has been honored with two awards, at the La Jolla Short Film Competition and Nature Without Borders International Film Competition. WHY HAVE WE BEEN SUCCESSFUL? From our beginnings our main goal has been to understand why traditional climate science outreach has failed. Global warming psychology reveals that traditional left brain analytical learning is not meaningful enough to overcome more powerful right brain emotional strategies of the climate change countermovement. This psychology suggests climate learning strategies shift towards the right to use color, images, narrative, intuition, and music. Images are everywhere in our work. Narrative dominates our writing and films and importantly, we use music in a way seldom used in traditional documentaries; music with lyrics. The blues illustrate why music works: The blues are liked by most, but they are about bad things. We like the blues because we can relate to the narrative, and the music soothes negatively reacting parts of our brains so deeper thought can create learning benefits. Perfect for climate change. WHY ARE CLIMATE TIPPING AND RESTORATION NOT IN CLIMATE POLICY? Tipping collapses are new and poorly reflected in current findings that are slower than the collapse rates and faster than consensus reporting reviews. Classic scientific reticence in findings creates understatements, and understating compromise is an artefact of consensus reports. The collapses are further understated by modeling that cannot yet robustly resolve abrupt changes as is reflected by the fifteen major Earth systems currently in collapse. The scenario bias of the 1,202 scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change understates because tipping responses are not included, where further warming to 1.5 C ensures self-fulfillment of tipping. These further warming scenarios create inaccuracies like: warming is locked in, current impacts are irreversible, we have a limited carbon emissions budget, emissions reductions are mandatory, and the scale of atmospheric removal is too large, too expensive and not possible until the latter half of the century. Simply put, if the scenarios only include more warming, of course current impacts will be locked in and irreversible. Other major understating biases are: the climate change countermovement's use of negative propaganda, where this propaganda feeds back into other findings so they understate too. The media also enhances understatements via their reporting. Attribution science gives the public license to believe it is still possible that impacts are from our old climate, and the non-stationarity problem in statistics understates with new and rapidly changing trends. WHAT DO WE DO NOW? Complete emissions cessation allows further warming because of warming in the pipeline. Natural systems are collapsing, unreliable and have started emitting in some cases. We have no choice but to remove climate pollution from our sky. Because it is an emergency, we need to use the tools at hand implemented with emergency motivation. There are three mature, 100-year old industrial processes to remove carbon from our atmosphere that are widespread and whose components are foundational pieces of industry. We need to restore by mid-century so our oceans can cool fast enough to stabilize ice sheets before the point of no return. This means cooling our climate to the maximum natural variability CO2 concentration of 350 ppm CO2, by removing at least 546 billion tons (Gt) of CO2 from the sky. Because emissions reductions are not likely to be achieved, additional emissions at 50 Gt per year (with natural systems absorbing half), adds 500 Gt for a total of about 1,000 Gt in round numbers. Over 20 years this is 50 Gt per year removal. The first 1 million ton per year unit is being built now. We need 1,000 units that are 50 times larger to do the job. And, emergency cooling with geoengineering may be required so research should strongly increase. COSTS We have no choice other than to begin this seemingly colossal task but everything is relative. In WWII we spent $19 trillion dollars globally (2019 dollars) in 7 years, on industrial expansion and mostly heavy manufacturing. Global GDP in WWII was an average of $6.37 trillion 2019 US dollars, totaling $44.6 trillion in 7 years. Global WWII spending then, was 43 percent of global GDP. Mimicking WWII industrialization infrastructure spending today at 43 percent of global GDP of $100 trillion annually in 2022, is $43 trillion per year, or $301 trillion in seven years. The challenge is motivation, not scaling, costs, or further research.